Description

This analysis provides a forecast of INJ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 3.032668 3.607262 4.231018 4.954846 5.767999 6.649659 7.674152
2026-01-11 2.344569 3.128814 4.050964 5.200360 6.579109 8.164411 10.108847
2026-01-18 1.764459 2.639949 3.751931 5.232197 7.113496 9.387092 12.302148
2026-01-25 1.276807 2.154181 3.359688 5.070564 7.365702 10.267119 14.134756
2026-02-01 0.936469 1.785706 3.046713 4.947816 7.626551 11.149905 16.006275
2026-02-08 0.690347 1.492994 2.780533 4.836673 7.867842 11.998831 17.861822
2026-02-15 0.518901 1.274194 2.580607 4.782338 8.163812 12.919027 19.841248
2026-02-22 0.433667 1.186312 2.571519 5.008034 8.870338 14.432118 22.682718
2026-03-01 0.336518 1.044512 2.442530 5.019450 9.244631 15.482156 24.917467
2026-03-08 0.231187 0.845089 2.168265 4.747649 9.146154 15.826044 26.154009
2026-03-15 0.160873 0.697546 1.959806 4.555512 9.145819 16.298467 27.575773
2026-03-22 0.138295 0.670450 1.992700 4.801466 9.876968 17.905295 30.707039
2026-03-29 0.123589 0.663642 2.072606 5.151045 10.817351 19.894580 34.506545
2026-04-05 0.107173 0.644278 2.120780 5.443308 11.676293 21.791460 38.231265
2026-04-12 0.082551 0.581715 2.054627 5.500331 12.125448 23.056571 41.040205
2026-04-19 0.056061 0.490630 1.895931 5.346725 12.183958 23.692128 42.901725
2026-04-26 0.037738 0.417140 1.763049 5.227425 12.290069 24.401108 44.890014
2026-05-03 0.024777 0.354737 1.642648 5.116606 12.397546 25.107402 46.884344
2026-05-10 0.016417 0.307531 1.553336 5.062930 12.605781 25.984706 49.168065
2026-05-17 0.013562 0.298977 1.586076 5.300330 13.393155 27.871782 53.112928
2026-05-24 0.009152 0.266599 1.529378 5.313381 13.734334 28.999826 55.858610
2026-05-31 0.004355 0.209796 1.363802 5.030280 13.455930 29.034532 56.821226
2026-06-07 0.001974 0.168850 1.238915 4.829951 13.327264 29.319259 58.191657